Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Debra Mayhew It's safer to keep her

It's safer to keep her mouth shut and stay out of sight

and unexpected love

Praise For The First Book  "I bought the "I Wrote This For You" book in actual

about what we owe our children

Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Debra Mayhew It's safer to keep herThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an